Stock Research Archive

Strategy Inc (MSTR) remains, at its core, a leveraged Bitcoin holding vehicle with a marginal software business attached. Holding 761,068 BTC against a $44.34B market cap, the stock's fate is overwhelmingly tied to Bitcoin price direction, and that direction has been relentlessly negative from the $...

Since my February 8, 2026 bull call at $66.42, RBLX has drifted further to $60.11 — down approximately 9.5% — not because the business deteriorated, but because macro headwinds (tariff shocks, risk-off sentiment) crushed a high-beta name. The fundamentals have actually strengthened: Q4 2025 delivere...

T-Mobile (TMUS) at $201.4 remains a structurally sound bull thesis, though the near-term picture has grown more complicated since my February 7 publication. The stock has essentially tread water (+2%) while the market has sold off, which is relative strength—but an RSI of 36.2 signals genuine sellin...

Tesla has declined approximately 12% since my February 2026 bear report ($411 to $360.59), directionally validating that thesis. The core deterioration story remains intact: Q1 2026 deliveries of 358,023 missed analyst estimates of 365,000-370,000, full-year 2026 delivery growth forecasts have been ...

TSMC enters April 2026 at $339, roughly 13% below its 52-week high and approximately 21% below Morningstar's revised fair value of $428, despite reporting a strong Q4 2025 earnings beat, guiding 30% revenue growth for 2026, raising capex to $52-56B, and hiking its dividend 20%. The pullback is drive...

Visa has declined ~20% from its 52-week high to $300.8, near its 52-week low of $293.89, while its fundamental trajectory has actually improved. Q1 FY2026 delivered 15% revenue growth to $10.9B and 15% EPS growth to $3.17 — beating consensus — with Value-Added Services surging 28% and cross-border v...

My prior February 2026 bear thesis has been partially validated — Walmart stock has declined from $131.18 to $125.79, roughly 4% — but the core valuation problem persists. The company posted solid Q4 results (5.6% net sales growth, operating income +10.8%), but FY2027 operating income guidance of on...

Twenty One Capital (XXI) remains a structurally impaired Bitcoin-native holding company with no operating history, no revenue, and no dividend. The prior bear thesis with a $5.50 1Y target nearly played out — the stock hit a 52-week low of $5.61 and sits just 9.8% above that level at $6.16 today. Wi...

Pinterest is trading at $18.01, down ~55% from its 52-week high of $39.93, after a brutal sequence of earnings misses, weak guidance, tariff-driven ad revenue headwinds, and a workforce restructuring. The stock now trades at roughly 8-11x forward earnings depending on the year, with $2.47B in net ca...

Snap Inc. is trading at $4.02, down 61% from its 52-week high of $10.41 and within spitting distance of its 52-week low of $3.81. The stock has been decimated by a combination of structural competitive disadvantages, persistent GAAP losses, ongoing dilution via stock-based compensation, weak North A...

Archer Aviation is a pre-revenue eVTOL company trading near its 52-week low at $4.94, down 66% from its 52-week high of $14.62. The company has ~$2B in liquidity (its highest ever), received 100% FAA acceptance of its Means of Compliance for the Midnight aircraft, and is targeting commercial pilot p...

PayPal is in the midst of a genuine business deterioration, not merely a sentiment-driven selloff. The stock has fallen 44% from its 52-week high and sits near multi-year lows, but the fundamental picture does not yet justify a contrarian buy. Q4 2025 missed revenue estimates by $111M, active accoun...

Oracle sits at a fascinating inflection point: the stock has collapsed 60% from its 52-week high of $345.72 to $138.80, yet the underlying business just delivered its best quarterly results in over 15 years — 22% total revenue growth, 84% cloud infrastructure growth, and $553B in remaining performan...

Fortinet is a high-quality cybersecurity platform vendor trading at $79.05, roughly 28% below its 52-week high of $109.33, after a valuation-driven derating despite solid fundamental execution. The company posted FY2025 revenue of $6.8B with 15% growth, record free cash flow of $2.21B, and Q4 EPS of...

Monday.com (MNDY) has suffered a catastrophic 79% drawdown from its 52-week high of $316.98, now trading at $66.47 with a market cap of $3.40B. The collapse was triggered by the company abandoning its 2027 revenue targets, disclosing decelerating growth, lengthening sales cycles, and reduced net rev...

DigitalOcean has undergone a remarkable transformation from a stagnating SMB cloud provider into an AI infrastructure play, with the stock up ~220% from its 52-week low. The Q4 2025 results were genuinely impressive: $242M revenue (+18% YoY), $901M full-year revenue, 150% AI ARR growth to $120M, 42%...

Duolingo has collapsed 82.5% from its 52-week high of $544.93 to $95.35, a destruction of value that demands serious scrutiny rather than reflexive bottom-fishing. The stock is trading near its 52-week low, RSI is deeply oversold at 37.5, and the company just guided for a dramatic deceleration: 10-1...

Asana is a work management SaaS platform trading at $6.17, down 67.5% from its 52-week high of $19.00 and near its 52-week low of $5.87. The stock is deeply oversold (RSI 14: 28.6), and the company has delivered genuine operational progress — its first non-GAAP operating profit, 88% gross margins, 9...

Twilio is a cloud communications platform executing a credible turnaround — revenue accelerated to 14% YoY growth in FY2025 ($5.07B), non-GAAP operating income reached $924M for the full year, and Q4 beat on both revenue and EPS. The company is generating real free cash flow, retiring shares, and po...

Okta is a structurally important identity security platform trading near 52-week lows after a brutal 42% drawdown from its high. The stock is pricing in a deteriorating growth narrative — and that narrative has merit. Okta just guided for 9% revenue growth in FY27, its slowest since IPO, with net do...